Companies are extending the periods that mediate the exchange of computers. The phenomenon is identified by IDC and cited as the main reason for a downward revision of PC sales forecasts in the United States for 2006 and 2007, with a reduced impact on global sales.
In the United States, sales remained at the same level as last year during the third quarter, against a 5 percent growth in the first half of the year. This decline, more pronounced in the corporate segment, is expected to continue over the next three quarters.
Thus, the consultant lowers the forecast of growth in the region to one digit in the next nine months. Double-digit (10 percent) growth is expected to return only in the second half of 2007.
Outside the United States, PC sales improved 13.5 percent in the third quarter with a strong role in emerging markets, which does not compromise the consultant’s forecast for this year or 2007. between 2008 and 2010 the trend will also be growth reduction to 10 percent.
«The growth in PC sales remains strong even with some stagnation recorded in the third quarter in the United States and in the second quarter in Europe and Japan», says the consultant. Still, it is expected that the emergence of new technologies and the growing adoption of notebooks will have a positive impact on the sector over the next analysis periods.
In summary, IDC expects the US market to grow 3.5 percent this year and 6.9 percent next year. Worldwide forecasts point to sales growth of around 10.1 percent this year and 11.3 percent next year, always with less significant growth in the business market.
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