IDC predicts that the total number of professional programmers worldwide will grow at a compound annual rate of 9.8 percent between 2003 and 2008, reaching 14.9 million in 2008. The Asia Pacific region will take the lead in this area already in 2006, while the Middle East and Africa had the highest composite growth as a region until 2008.
The consultant’s analysis is based on world population statistics, changes in literary skills and technological growth. IDC claims that China and India are the countries with the greatest increase in the number of software, registering growth of 25.6 percent and 24.5 percent respectively.
«Since China and India represent more than a third of the world’s population and many companies are betting on technological development in Asia Pacific, dominance in this region is expected,» said Stephen Hendrick, vice president of IDC Research group . The new software development techniques and the offshoring they will push for the progressive reduction in the number of programmers in the United States, which thus loses the first position.
Currently there are 10 countries where software development companies can focus their attention, namely the USA, Russia, India, Japan, Canada, Germany, China, United Kingdom, France and Italy, with Spain approaching the fifth position. However, IDC recommends that companies focus on local specificities of markets with great growth potential, abandoning this geographical determinism.
According to the report, many developing countries need additional training and software and documentation opportunities in their native languages. «Companies that are willing to address the needs of smaller markets can guarantee a greater market share there than in other countries where competition is greater,» adds Stephen Hendrick.
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